Does Large Family Size Reduce Investment in Children? - NOT MUCH!"
Allison Vratil
* Evidence of the impact of family size on educational investment
in
children is inconsistent and inconclusive. There is a lack of
convincing
support of a strong association between large family size and reduced
investment in children.
* The overall impact of family size on educational attainment and
schooling enrollment is mixed. When a statistically significant
effect is
detected, it is usually negative, indicating that educational
attainment
and schooling enrollment decrease as family size increases. This
effect
is also weak, indicating that the decline in educational investment
in
children of large families is only slight.
* The observed small negative effects of family size on
educational
investment occur mainly among relatively large and relatively small
families. Although there is some evidence suggesting that children in
very small families (1-2 children) enjoy an educational advantage
over
children in very large families (more than 5 children), there is no
evidence of an association within small and large families. For
example,
we would not expect to see a significant difference in the
educational
investment in two-child and four- or five-child families.
* Those studies that do find a significant association between
family
size and educational investment in children also reveal that nearly
all
of this correlation can be attributed to other demographic and
personal
characteristics such as rural/urban residence, region, parents'
education, household wealth, and child's age.
* Most models of the association between family size and
educational
investment in children fail to account for the fact that family size
and
educational investment are determined jointly. Despite a large
empirical
literature documenting jointly determined fertility and schooling,
much
of the research on the impact of family size on educational
investment
rests on the assumption of a causal relationship between family size
and
educational investment. This assumption has resulted in conclusions
based
on statistically biased estimates of the impact of family size.
Correcting for this bias would further weaken the small negative
association between family size and educational investment.
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